Boise St gets some nice news this Sunday as they jump to #5 in the coaches poll. Not only that Oregon gets a big win over Cal and a #16 ranking. That's a big win that Boise needs if they are going to have even a shot at the national championship game. A #5 ranking is great but lets not be so naive as to think that all they need is 4 teams ahead of them losing. Boise still needs a crazy amount of stuff to happen before they'd be seriously considered.
With that, lets look at the teams that are no longer playing meaningful games.
Florida St lost a game at home to an unranked team and racked up their second loss of the season. They aren't ranked anymore and they don't have too much of a shot to get back to the top. I'm saying they're out.
Northwestern lost at home to an unranked team.
Mississippi St lost a second game, one to an unranked team, one at home. They're 1-2 in the SEC. If they win out I guess I could see it though. I'm leaving them in.
Clemson lost one at home, one on the road, and both to teams ranked #15. The difference between them and Miss St is Miss St plays 5 more ranked teams including Florida and Alabama. Clemson only has a neutered Miami at 17 and FSU left on their schedule. They wont come back.
Arkansas might have the same possibility as Miss St so they'll stay on the list, for now.
Louisville has their second loss to an unranked team, they're out.
Oregon St lost at home to an unranked team, out.
Penn St was ranked when they lost. I should remind, doesn't eliminate you. Thats why preseason ranking is awful. Penn St is alive but NC St isn't. Of course, like I said before, no one knows the real rules.
Washington had a big letdown game v Stanford. They have one loss at home and one loss to a ranked team. But Washington has something that no one else so far has, which is a truly amazing win. Miss St and Arkansas are staying on here because they may beat Florida. Washington already beat USC. One more and there's no question though.
Texas Tech has two road losses to ranked reams. They'll stay in for now despite losing the biggest game of the year to Texas.
So after that explanation, to be as conservative as possible I'll say
Oregon St
Louisville
Clemson
Northwestern
Florida St
are out. Now lets see which games don't matter as a result.
Oregon St @ Washington St
Louisville v Southern Miss
Louisville v Arkansas St
Louisville v Syracuse
Louisville v Rutgers
Clemson @ Maryland
Clemson v Wake Forest
Clemson v Coastal Carolina
Clemson v Florida St
Clemson @ North Carolina St
Clemson v Virginia
Northwestern @ Purdue
Northwestern v Miami OH
Northwestern @ Michigan St
Northwestern @ Illinois
Florida St v North Carolina St
Florida St @ Wake Forest
Florida St v Maryland
That's 18 more games that don't count. Wow Clemson is basically an afterthought now isn't it.
Sunday, September 27, 2009
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