Division 1AA

It's been a while since I've posted about the better subdivision. The one with a 16 team playoff. Now that we are a few weeks in to the season let's take a look at the teams that are at this point no longer eligible for a playoff spot. SWAC teams and Ivy teams that aren't undefeated will be considered ineligible since a pretty good team from those conferences won't accept a bid.

CAA: Northeastern
Independent: Winston-Salem
Missouri Valley: Indiana St
Northeast: Robert Morris
Patriot: Georgetown
Ivy: Cornell
Dartmouth
Brown
Columbia
Harvard
Yale
Princeton
Penn
SWAC: Alabama A&M
Mississippi Valley St
Alcorn St
Alabama St
Jackson St
Prarie View A&M
Southern University
Grambling St
Arkansas Pine-Bluff
Texas Southern

23 teams have been eliminated. That's it. And outside of the SWAC and the Ivy where the teams abstain there's only 5 teams that can't win the championship.
Thats 23 out of 125 teams eliminated, only 18% of the teams. That's because 7-4 teams are still eligible for the playoffs. It's probably unlikely that an 0-4 or 1-4 will make a playoff run, but they certainly may. The same way I'm leaving Stanford in the running, I have to leave the lower teams in D1AA in. However, what we can do is a D1AA bracketology.
Big Sky: Montana
CAA: Richmond
MEAC: Florida A&M
MVC: South Dakota St
OVC: Eastern Illinois
Patriot: Colgate
Southern: Furman
Southland: McNeese St
At Large: Northern Iowa
Villanova
William & Mary
James Madison
New Hampshire
Southern Illinois
Elon
Appalachian St

I skipped UMass at #8 because that would have been a 6th CAA team. I'm not sure if you can't have that many from one conference, but it seems unlikely.

By the way, there are 6 CAA teams in the top 8. That conference really ought to be D1A.