It's the first week of the BCS standings which means a lot of fans are going to be annoyed for a while. It's true that we aren't locked into an SEC/Texas matchup but we very well could be. Just like in 2005 when Texas and USC played wire to wire #1 and #2 football it could be the case that actually every other team doesn't matter.
Without further ado here are the list of teams that failed to keep a title dream alive and thus are no longer playing meaningful football:
-It's tough to say that South Florida is out after one loss but oh my is it close. Cincinnati is well ahead of USF in the pecking order and it will be hard to break that lock. Aside from that they aren't even in the BCS top 25 which means bouncing back is going to be quite hard. If a perfect storm happens including two Cincy losses, another GT loss, two Texas losses, two Iowa losses, and another USC and Oregon loss maybe an end of the year win over Miami would get them consideration... oh you know what, they're just out.
-Oklahoma lost three games. Obvious out.
-Wisconsin has good losses but no more opportunities for a big win. They'll have a good season but no where near a national title.
-Oh no Ohio St. It seems pretty unlikely this year that a 2 loss team from outside the SEC will make the national title game. On top of that their computer numbers stink and USC is for sure ahead of OSU in the pecking order. It's not going to happen this year.
-Has Arkansas really lasted this long. Well three losses is out.
-Notre Dame's not going to bounce back from two losses this season. They're out of the BCS top 25 and there really isn't much chance left for a big win.
-Nebraska has a very weak resume and not too many chances to bounce back. They're out of the BCS top 25 and will only have one more chance to get a big win. The BCS is confusing but Nebraska isn't a two loss championship team.
-Auburn lost at home to an unranked team.
-Kansas has three big games left, two of which have been pretty neutered. Nebraska and Oklahoma are tough games, and Texas will be a big one. Then they could turn around and play Texas again in the Big 12 championship.
-Virginia Tech is the top 2 loss team in the country, so the question to ask is whether a two loss team has a shot this year. I'd say yes still, so they can stay for now. But I reserve the right to bounce them even if they don't lose again.
-South Carolina is actually still in the running, but they need Florida to lose again, and then beat Florida to take the SEC East lead. It's a long long shot but wackier things have happened.
-Because it's a close call and because the game against Texas will matter whether I keep Missouri in or not, and because we're being very conservative here Mizzou gets one more week of relevancy. But probably not really.
8 teams lost games to eliminate them, but there are actually two teams with two losses that can be basically eliminated now that the first BCS rankings are up:
-Texas Tech is out of the BCS top 25 and they've missed their big shot vs Texas. Even if they win the Big 12 South the championship game wont be as big a game as they'd need. At this point they're out.
-Michigan still has three games vs ranked teams but how are they going to jump Iowa? And if they do jump Iowa how is the Big 10 going to put a two loss team in the championship. A Michigan title game is just so so unlikely.
So there you have it:
Michigan
Texas Tech
South Florida
Oklahoma
Wisconsin
Ohio St
Arkansas
Notre Dame
Nebraska
Auburn
are out. Here are the games that don't matter because of it:
Michigan @ Illinois
Michigan v Purdue
Michigan v Ohio St
Michigan @ Wisconsin
Wisconsin v Purdue
Wisconsin @ Indiana
Wisconsin @ Northwestern
Wisconsin @ Hawaii
Ohio St v Minnesota
Ohio St v New Mexico St
Texas Tech v Texas A&M
Texas Tech v Oklahoma
Texas Tech v Baylor
Oklahoma v Kansas St
Oklahoma @ Nebraska
Oklahoma v Texas A&M
Nebraska v Iowa St
Nebraska @ Baylor
Nebraska v Kansas St
Nebraska @ Colorado
South Florida @ Rutgers
South Florida v Louisville
South Florida @ Connecticut
Arkansas @ Mississippi
Arkansas v Eastern Michigan
Arkansas v Troy
Arkansas v Mississippi St
Auburn v Mississippi
Auburn v Furman
Auburn @ Georgia
Notre Dame v Boston College
Notre Dame v Washington St
Notre Dame v Navy
Notre Dame v Connecticut
Notre Dame @ Stanford
Another week where a whopping number of games get taken out of relevancy.
35 more dead games.
Monday, October 19, 2009
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment