Big Money Bowls

One very solid bit of news coming from Week 10 was Notre Dame's loss. That opens up the big money bowls for teams like Boise St and TCU quite nicely. Also good to know is that Houston is back in the top 12, taking a spot a different big money team might have gotten. So lets run down again what the likelihood of BCS contenders and at larges.

1. Florida
2. Texas
3. Alabama
-then it gets murky, even more so than last week-
4. Georgia Tech (needs the ACC championship or some luck as an at large)
5. TCU (needs to win out, but still has #14 Utah left on their schedule)
5. Cincinnati (same as GTech)
6. Pittsburgh (same as GTech)
7. Oregon (same as GTech)
8. Iowa (same as GTech)
9. Ohio St (a highly ranked team that wont get in without winning their division, if they don't win their division they'll have 3 losses)
10. USC (If they win out they will be a BCS at large. For sure)
11. Boise St (Looking more and more like a BCS at large, especially with Houston and Utah in the top 14.)
-The teams no one expects but control their own destiny-
12. Clemson (still controls its destiny in the ACC)
13. Arizona (still controls its destiny in the Pac10)
14. Nebraska (still controls its destiny in the Big12)
15. West Virginia (still controls its destiny in the Big East)
16. Kansas St (still controls its destiny in the Big12)
-needs someone ahead of them to lose to be considered an at large-
17. Miami (The most attractive at large outside of USC, too bad they aren't in the top 14 right now.)
18. Penn St (Could they jump the other Big 10 teams?)
19. Oklahoma St (Looking more and more likely)
20. Wisconsin (Needs a lot of losses by top Big 10 teams)
21. South Florida (Seems super unlikely. There hasn't been a Big East team taken seriously without winning the division since Miami left.)
22. LSU? (I'm not sure if they are still alive. I guess Alabama or Florida could still have 3 losses each. They wouldn't win the SEC but they'd beat someone out for the second SEC spot.)
23. Utah (Beat TCU, and BYU and they look like an attractive at large team even if Boise St is ahead of them)
24. Houston (currently higher ranked than the Pac10 leader, but the 3rd ranked nonAQ team)
25. Rutgers (still needs a freakin miracle)
26. BYU? (I didn't have them in last week, and they are quite low this week, but could a BYU team that wins the MWC be an at large? If there aren't enough 2 loss teams I suppose. Right?)
-big jump-
27-41 Teams that are still technically still searching for a division win

That includes a number of teams that have 4 division losses. Pretty unlikely.