Sunday, November 8, 2009

Week 10 Wrapup

A very strange week indeed for college football. Teams right below the top 3 lost some momentum with Oregon, Iowa, and LSU all losing. Is this good news for Boise St and TCU? Well, that depends on what you believe the situation actually is for them. Because TCU and Boise were ahead of these teams in the polls already it would have been good for them to stay winning and muddle up the computer numbers. That is if you believe that it would take a miracle to see either in the BCS championship (which I do). Particularly upsetting is Oregon's loss which hurts both Boise St and Utah, so subsequently TCU as well. However, if you believe that Boise St and TCU were all along legitimate contenders then this is probably good news, since now there are very very few contenders below them should Texas lose, or a miracle happen in the SEC. If Texas loses any time the rest of the way TCU looks like the next team in line, as miraculous as that would be. Now, I would have surely seen a one loss Oregon or a one loss LSU jump them but now it's hard to spot a one loss team with the resume to overcome an undefeated Boise St or TCU. Of course Alabama, Texas, and Florida all got one step closer to an undefeated season making it basically irrelevant what happens below them.

Anyway, here's a list of the teams that are no longer playing meaningful games after week 10:
LSU - LSU can't jump either Alabama or Florida, so despite their resume suggesting that they are still alive for the national championship they wont win the SEC or come in second. They're done.
Iowa - What to do with Iowa? The polls hate them, and winning against Ohio St won't give them the boost they really need. Ohio St is ahead of them in the polls despite having two losses. The Big 10 is having a pretty bad down year and Iowa losing means they're out for good.
Oregon - Two losses isn't going to get it done. Even if they still win the Pac10 they wont overcome the teams ahead of them. The eventual Big East champion and the eventual Big 10 champion will end ahead of them.
Penn St - Two losses, to two teams now ahead of them in the Big10.

Here are the games that no longer matter because of it:
Iowa @ Ohio St
Iowa v Minnesota
LSU v Louisiana Tech
LSU @ Mississippi
LSU v Arkansas
Oregon v Arizona St
Oregon @ Arizona
Oregon v Oregon St
Penn St v Indiana
Penn St @ Michigan St

Only 10 more games go down.

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